Athersley Recreation vs Penistone Church analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
6.9%
Win probability
0.63
Expected goals
4-0
<0%
+4
<0%
3-0
0.2%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.2%
2-0
0.8%
3-1
0.4%
4-2
0.1%
+2
1.3%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.1%
3-2
0.6%
4-3
0.1%
+1
5.2%
13.7%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
13.7%
79.4%
Win probability
2.59
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
13.4%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
22.3%
0-3
11.5%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
17.1%
0-4
7.5%
1-5
2.4%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
10.3%
0-5
3.9%
1-6
1.1%
2-7
0.1%
-5
5%
0-6
1.7%
1-7
0.4%
2-8
0%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Athersley Recreation
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Nov. 2021 |
ECC
1 - 1
ATH
91%
7%
2%
|
9 | 32 | 23 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
GBO
2 - 1
ATH
93%
5%
2%
|
9 | 36 | 27 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 4
STA
7%
14%
79%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
GAR
4 - 0
ATH
95%
4%
1%
|
9 | 24 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
ATH
0 - 5
WIN
6%
13%
81%
|
10 | 31 | 21 | -1 |
Matches
Penistone Church
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Nov. 2021 |
HEM
1 - 2
PEN
18%
19%
62%
|
27 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2021 |
STA
0 - 4
PEN
43%
22%
35%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |
| 13 Nov. 2021 |
PEN
1 - 4
GAR
53%
20%
27%
|
27 | 24 | 3 | -1 |
| 06 Nov. 2021 |
WIN
0 - 2
PEN
65%
18%
16%
|
25 | 31 | 6 | +2 |
| 30 Oct. 2021 |
PEN
4 - 1
GBO
14%
18%
69%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | +4 |