Serie A round 23

Atalanta vs SPAL analysis

Atalanta SPAL
87 ELO 73
9.3% Tilt 8%
General ELO ranking 2328º
Country ELO ranking 75º
ELO win probability
79.2%
Atalanta
14.3%
Draw
6.6%
SPAL

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
79.1%
Win probability
Atalanta
2.47
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.8%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.6%
4-0
7.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
12%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
14.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.8%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.3%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
6.6%
Win probability
SPAL
0.57
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.9%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.1%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.2%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
-5%
-13%
SPAL

ELO progression

Atalanta
SPAL
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
04 Feb. 2019
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
21%
23%
57%
87 76 11 0
30 Jan. 2019
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 0
Juventus
JUV
25%
26%
49%
86 93 7 +1
27 Jan. 2019
ATL
Atalanta
3 - 3
Roma
ROM
38%
25%
38%
86 88 2 0
20 Jan. 2019
FRO
Frosinone
0 - 5
Atalanta
ATL
15%
22%
63%
86 71 15 0
14 Jan. 2019
CAG
Cagliari
0 - 2
Atalanta
ATL
28%
25%
48%
86 77 9 0

Matches

SPAL
SPAL
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
03 Feb. 2019
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Torino
TOR
18%
24%
58%
73 85 12 0
27 Jan. 2019
PAR
Parma
2 - 3
SPAL
SPA
45%
28%
27%
73 73 0 0
20 Jan. 2019
SPA
SPAL
1 - 1
Bologna
BOL
44%
28%
28%
73 74 1 0
29 Dec. 2018
ACM
Milan
2 - 1
SPAL
SPA
71%
19%
10%
73 85 12 0
26 Dec. 2018
SPA
SPAL
0 - 0
Udinese
UDI
40%
27%
33%
73 76 3 0