Q. Europa League Second Round Final
Global 10-2
Atalanta vs Sarajevo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.42
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.2%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.9%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.6%
3-0
10.1%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.4%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.7%
16%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16%
9.4%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
3 - 2
HER
60%
21%
19%
|
87 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jul. 2018 |
ATL
6 - 1
CHI
82%
13%
5%
|
87 | 56 | 31 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2018 |
CAL
0 - 4
ATL
7%
17%
77%
|
87 | 40 | 47 | 0 |
| 20 May. 2018 |
CAG
1 - 0
ATL
26%
25%
49%
|
87 | 77 | 10 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2018 |
ATL
1 - 1
ACM
52%
23%
24%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sarajevo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jul. 2018 |
RAD
2 - 1
SAR
31%
27%
42%
|
78 | 70 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2018 |
SAR
3 - 0
BAN
74%
17%
10%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Jul. 2018 |
BAN
1 - 2
SAR
23%
24%
54%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
SAR
4 - 1
TRI
71%
18%
12%
|
78 | 64 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 May. 2018 |
ZEL
2 - 1
SAR
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |