Atalanta vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.9%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.6%
25%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
25%
32.2%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.2%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
BOL
2 - 0
ATL
66%
19%
15%
|
81 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
FIO
4 - 0
ATL
67%
19%
14%
|
82 | 86 | 4 | -1 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 0
CAT
60%
21%
19%
|
81 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 1963 |
ATL
2 - 0
SCP
26%
23%
51%
|
81 | 89 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 1963 |
ATL
3 - 1
TOR
61%
22%
17%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 1963 |
GEN
3 - 0
ROM
35%
26%
39%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1963 |
ROM
6 - 1
SAM
74%
15%
11%
|
85 | 77 | 8 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 1963 |
BAR
1 - 3
ROM
29%
27%
45%
|
84 | 73 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Sep. 1963 |
RPO
0 - 2
ROM
21%
22%
58%
|
84 | 45 | 39 | 0 |
| 26 May. 1963 |
VNZ
1 - 1
ROM
28%
25%
47%
|
84 | 71 | 13 | 0 |