Serie A Round 19

Atalanta vs Parma analysis

Atalanta Parma
82 ELO 89
5.5% Tilt -8.8%
General ELO ranking 85º
Country ELO ranking 15º
ELO win probability
32.5%
Atalanta
26.5%
Draw
41%
Parma

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.5%
Win probability
Atalanta
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.1%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.7%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
41.1%
Win probability
Parma
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
10.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.9%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.1%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Atalanta
-5%
+7%
Parma

ELO progression

Atalanta
Parma
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Atalanta
Atalanta
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 1998
BOL
Bologna
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
56%
23%
21%
81 82 1 0
25 Jan. 1998
JUV
Juventus
3 - 1
Atalanta
ATL
81%
14%
6%
82 93 11 -1
22 Jan. 1998
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
32%
28%
40%
81 90 9 +1
18 Jan. 1998
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Udinese
UDI
39%
25%
36%
81 86 5 0
11 Jan. 1998
BAR
SSC Bari
0 - 0
Atalanta
ATL
42%
27%
31%
81 78 3 0

Matches

Parma
Parma
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Feb. 1998
PAR
Parma
1 - 0
SSC Bari
BAR
67%
21%
12%
89 79 10 0
25 Jan. 1998
BRE
Brescia
2 - 1
Parma
PAR
24%
26%
49%
90 76 14 -1
22 Jan. 1998
ATL
Atalanta
1 - 1
Parma
PAR
32%
28%
40%
90 81 9 0
18 Jan. 1998
PAR
Parma
3 - 1
Milan
ACM
45%
27%
28%
90 90 0 0
11 Jan. 1998
SAM
Sampdoria
5 - 2
Parma
PAR
49%
25%
27%
90 87 3 0