Atalanta vs Palermo FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.9%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.3%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.3%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
8.1%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
20.4%
Win probability
0.89
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
13.7%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
MES
3 - 0
ATL
38%
28%
35%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
1 - 1
TOR
60%
24%
17%
|
77 | 71 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2004 |
PES
0 - 0
ATL
20%
27%
53%
|
77 | 57 | 20 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
TRI
1 - 1
ATL
35%
28%
37%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
ATL
0 - 2
VER
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Palermo FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
1 - 0
ASC
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 61 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
4 - 0
VNZ
58%
24%
18%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2004 |
FIO
2 - 1
PAL
55%
24%
21%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Mar. 2004 |
PAL
2 - 1
COM
61%
24%
15%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2004 |
PES
0 - 2
PAL
30%
27%
43%
|
71 | 59 | 12 | 0 |