Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.2%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.9%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
13.8%
25.3%
Draw
0-0
8.8%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.3%
54.5%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.6%
0-2
11%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.8%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8%
0-4
2.3%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
4 - 1
CES
57%
25%
18%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
FIO
2 - 2
ATL
62%
22%
16%
|
78 | 84 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
CAT
45%
27%
28%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2011 |
CHI
0 - 0
ATL
44%
28%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2011 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
28%
26%
46%
|
78 | 86 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jan. 2012 |
ACM
1 - 0
PSG
61%
22%
17%
|
90 | 87 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Dec. 2011 |
CAG
0 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 78 | 11 | +1 |
| 17 Dec. 2011 |
ACM
2 - 0
SIE
79%
14%
7%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2011 |
BOL
2 - 2
ACM
20%
25%
55%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2011 |
VKP
2 - 2
ACM
29%
24%
47%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | -1 |