Atalanta vs Milan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.7%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5%
2-0
5.7%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.9%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
37%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10.9%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.6%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
USA
1 - 1
ATL
45%
25%
30%
|
75 | 63 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
SAM
45%
22%
33%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
LIV
0 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
16%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ATL
1 - 1
TRI
53%
24%
24%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 1946 |
INT
0 - 1
ATL
75%
16%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
Matches
Milan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 1946 |
BRE
1 - 1
ACM
37%
24%
39%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 1
INT
57%
21%
22%
|
81 | 84 | 3 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 1946 |
SAM
2 - 1
ACM
46%
22%
32%
|
81 | 77 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 1946 |
ACM
3 - 3
JUV
51%
22%
27%
|
81 | 87 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 1946 |
ACM
2 - 3
VIC
74%
14%
11%
|
83 | 74 | 9 | -2 |