Atalanta vs Lecce analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.8%
Win probability
2.76
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.6%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6%
4-0
8.2%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
11.9%
4-1
5.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.1%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.1%
12.3%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
5.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.3%
5.9%
Win probability
0.62
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
1.8%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4.5%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1.1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+14%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 2
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAS
1 - 4
ATL
24%
23%
53%
|
86 | 77 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
ROM
0 - 2
ATL
60%
20%
20%
|
86 | 87 | 1 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 2
FIO
67%
19%
14%
|
86 | 82 | 4 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DZG
4 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
86 | 88 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Lecce
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
0 - 1
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
71 | 87 | 16 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 2019 |
SPA
1 - 3
LEC
49%
25%
27%
|
70 | 73 | 3 | +1 |
| 22 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
1 - 4
NAP
14%
20%
66%
|
70 | 88 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2019 |
TOR
1 - 2
LEC
85%
10%
5%
|
69 | 86 | 17 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 2019 |
LEC
2 - 1
COS
69%
17%
14%
|
69 | 56 | 13 | 0 |