Atalanta vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31.5%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
<0%
+3
2.2%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.2%
+2
8%
1-0
14.1%
2-1
5.8%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
20.8%
32.7%
Draw
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.4%
2-2
2.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
32.7%
35.8%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
15.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
9.5%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
USF
2 - 1
ATL
55%
29%
16%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
PRG
34%
33%
33%
|
53 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
ASS
1 - 0
ATL
56%
28%
16%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
ATL
0 - 0
VAR
39%
31%
30%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
ATL
61%
26%
13%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 2
ACM
38%
28%
34%
|
64 | 74 | 10 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 1982 |
REG
0 - 0
LAZ
40%
30%
30%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
LAZ
2 - 0
VAR
59%
26%
16%
|
64 | 60 | 4 | +1 |
| 28 Nov. 1982 |
PIS
0 - 1
LAZ
43%
30%
27%
|
64 | 58 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 1982 |
USF
0 - 2
LAZ
37%
30%
33%
|
63 | 52 | 11 | +1 |