Atalanta vs Lazio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
53.3%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.3%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
23.4%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.6%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.2%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 1
NAP
56%
23%
21%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
PAD
3 - 0
ATL
63%
20%
16%
|
76 | 80 | 4 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
0 - 3
SAM
40%
24%
36%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
ATL
1 - 1
BOL
46%
24%
30%
|
77 | 79 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
LEC
1 - 0
ATL
45%
26%
30%
|
78 | 68 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Lazio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 1961 |
INT
0 - 1
LAZ
79%
13%
9%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
CAT
0 - 1
LAZ
48%
24%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 1
VIC
53%
23%
24%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
SPA
3 - 2
LAZ
49%
24%
27%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
LAZ
1 - 2
PAD
46%
25%
29%
|
75 | 80 | 5 | -1 |