Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.3%
Win probability
2.41
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.4%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.2%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
17.1%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
17.1%
12.5%
Win probability
0.92
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.6%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
ASS
1 - 2
ATL
26%
24%
50%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
0 - 1
LIV
23%
21%
57%
|
93 | 98 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
ATL
2 - 2
VER
85%
11%
5%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
LIV
0 - 3
ATL
79%
14%
8%
|
93 | 99 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
CAG
2 - 1
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
93 | 84 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2024 |
SAL
0 - 2
FIO
24%
25%
51%
|
91 | 80 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
2 - 0
VKP
73%
17%
11%
|
91 | 84 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2024 |
FIO
1 - 1
GEN
68%
20%
12%
|
91 | 86 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2024 |
VKP
0 - 0
FIO
25%
25%
51%
|
91 | 83 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
JUV
1 - 0
FIO
59%
23%
18%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |