Atalanta vs Fiorentina analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.9%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.4%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.6%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
10.5%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
18.7%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
18.7%
14.4%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.7%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2019 |
DZG
4 - 0
ATL
49%
24%
27%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2019 |
GEN
1 - 2
ATL
22%
23%
55%
|
87 | 79 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
ATL
2 - 3
TOR
58%
22%
20%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2019 |
SPA
2 - 3
ATL
19%
22%
59%
|
87 | 75 | 12 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
ATL
1 - 4
GET
60%
22%
18%
|
87 | 86 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Fiorentina
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
0 - 0
JUV
24%
25%
52%
|
83 | 91 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2019 |
FIO
1 - 0
PRG
72%
17%
11%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | -1 |
| 01 Sep. 2019 |
GEN
2 - 1
FIO
32%
26%
42%
|
84 | 78 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 4
NAP
31%
24%
44%
|
84 | 89 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2019 |
FIO
3 - 1
ASS
86%
10%
3%
|
84 | 57 | 27 | 0 |