Atalanta vs Spezia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
85.2%
Win probability
3.02
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.8%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.6%
5-0
5.6%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.3%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.2%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
18%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.6
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.5%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.6%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-5%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atalanta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2021 |
INT
1 - 0
ATL
55%
22%
24%
|
91 | 92 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2021 |
ATL
5 - 1
CRO
87%
9%
4%
|
91 | 73 | 18 | 0 |
| 28 Feb. 2021 |
SAM
0 - 2
ATL
18%
21%
62%
|
91 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
0 - 1
RMA
37%
23%
39%
|
90 | 93 | 3 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2021 |
ATL
4 - 2
NAP
59%
21%
20%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Spezia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Mar. 2021 |
SPE
1 - 1
BEN
46%
25%
29%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2021 |
JUV
3 - 0
SPE
83%
13%
5%
|
79 | 93 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 2
PAR
50%
24%
26%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | +1 |
| 19 Feb. 2021 |
FIO
3 - 0
SPE
62%
22%
16%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Feb. 2021 |
SPE
2 - 0
ACM
15%
22%
63%
|
78 | 90 | 12 | +1 |