Atco. Deva vs C. Guarnizo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.5%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.1%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.7%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.2%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.4%
11.1%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Atco. Deva
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Mar. 2009 |
REO
0 - 2
DEV
68%
20%
13%
|
22 | 30 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2009 |
DEV
1 - 0
SAN
49%
25%
26%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | +1 |
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
GIM
2 - 1
DEV
85%
11%
4%
|
21 | 48 | 27 | 0 |
| 07 Mar. 2009 |
DEV
1 - 2
LAR
47%
26%
28%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
NOJ
2 - 0
DEV
76%
16%
8%
|
22 | 37 | 15 | 0 |
Matches
C. Guarnizo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Mar. 2009 |
CGU
0 - 0
CAS
29%
25%
46%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2009 |
RIB
3 - 1
CGU
67%
20%
14%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2009 |
VEL
0 - 1
CGU
44%
25%
31%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
CGU
1 - 1
REO
19%
23%
58%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +1 |
| 28 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
CGU
75%
16%
9%
|
13 | 22 | 9 | +1 |