Callosa vs San Joan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
17%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.2%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.2%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.2%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.8%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
62.4%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.8%
0-2
10.2%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.3%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Callosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
CAL
6 - 0
CUL
65%
19%
17%
|
11 | 8 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ALT
4 - 1
CAL
52%
22%
26%
|
12 | 12 | 0 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 2
XER
56%
21%
23%
|
12 | 11 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
FIN
0 - 3
CAL
28%
23%
50%
|
11 | 7 | 4 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
CAL
2 - 3
RAF
23%
22%
55%
|
12 | 18 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
San Joan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
JOA
2 - 0
POL
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 16 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
CUL
1 - 2
JOA
12%
19%
69%
|
24 | 9 | 15 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
JOA
3 - 1
CAL
39%
23%
38%
|
23 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ALT
0 - 0
JOA
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
JOA
4 - 2
MUT
61%
20%
19%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |