Siegendorf vs Marz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
84.8%
Win probability
3.11
Expected goals
10-0
0.1%
+10
0.1%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.3%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.6%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.8%
5-0
5.5%
6-1
1.9%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
3.7%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
13.3%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
18.8%
2-0
11%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
7.1%
2-1
7.4%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.6%
10.2%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.5%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
10.2%
5%
Win probability
0.67
Expected goals
0-1
1.5%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.4%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
74
1º
6º
1º
17
11º
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
14º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
74 | 78 |
1º
|
96.5% | |
|
16º
|
0 | 65 |
2º
|
67% | |
|
2º
|
56 | 59 |
3º
|
68.5% | |
|
3º
|
52 | 55 |
4º
|
69.5% | |
|
4º
|
49 | 50 |
5º
|
58.5% | |
|
5º
|
48 | 49 |
6º
|
69% | |
|
7º
|
40 | 41 |
7º
|
70% | |
|
6º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
71% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 37 |
9º
|
85% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 33 |
10º
|
23.5% | |
|
9º
|
33 | 33 |
11º
|
38% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
12º
|
28% | |
|
12º
|
30 | 30 |
13º
|
80.5% | |
|
13º
|
27 | 27 |
14º
|
95% | |
|
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
15º
|
68.5% | |
|
15º
|
17 | 17 |
16º
|
68.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Siegendorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2023 |
PIN
1 - 1
ASV
11%
18%
70%
|
48 | 29 | 19 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
BAS
82%
13%
5%
|
47 | 25 | 22 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 2023 |
HOR
2 - 3
ASV
10%
16%
74%
|
47 | 23 | 24 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2023 |
ASV
4 - 3
PAR
71%
18%
11%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
LEI
0 - 3
ASV
15%
18%
68%
|
45 | 27 | 18 | +1 |
Matches
Marz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Oct. 2023 |
MAR
1 - 1
DEU
33%
21%
45%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
HAL
3 - 1
MAR
9%
15%
76%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | -1 |
| 22 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 2
STM
43%
22%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2023 |
SPG
1 - 0
MAR
34%
22%
44%
|
22 | 19 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Sep. 2023 |
MAR
0 - 0
SVS
71%
16%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |