Schrems vs Scheiblingkirchen-Warth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
20%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.9%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5.4%
1-0
3.7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
12%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.5%
60.5%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
22%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.6%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
5.8%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
11.3%
0-4
3.3%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-46%
+74%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
59
1º
10º
2º
36
2º
14º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
62 | 62 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
59 | 59 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
58 | 58 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
54 | 54 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
49 | 49 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
47 | 47 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
43 | 43 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
43 | 43 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
40 | 40 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
39 | 39 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
36 | 36 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
35 | 35 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
33 | 33 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
29 | 29 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
15º
|
25 | 25 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
11 | 11 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 2
SVG
15%
23%
62%
|
25 | 70 | 45 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
1 - 3
ASV
61%
19%
21%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Jul. 2023 |
ASV
1 - 5
AUS
2%
7%
91%
|
24 | 81 | 57 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2023 |
ASV
2 - 1
SVH
58%
20%
22%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Jun. 2023 |
SCO
2 - 0
ASV
36%
23%
42%
|
24 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
Matches
Scheiblingkirchen-Warth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2023 |
LAN
0 - 4
SCH
22%
21%
57%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2023 |
SCH
0 - 1
STP
72%
16%
12%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | -1 |
| 15 Jul. 2023 |
RAP
4 - 0
SCH
90%
8%
2%
|
38 | 79 | 41 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2023 |
SCH
1 - 1
WIE
17%
22%
61%
|
37 | 49 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2023 |
KRE
3 - 0
SCH
66%
19%
15%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |