Schrems vs Kottingbrunn analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.3%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+61%
-50%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Schrems
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
SVS
2 - 1
ASV
61%
22%
18%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
1 - 2
MIS
49%
24%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2009 |
GOT
0 - 1
ASV
41%
24%
35%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
ASV
0 - 3
ARD
46%
24%
30%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2009 |
SVH
1 - 1
ASV
32%
24%
43%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Kottingbrunn
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Sep. 2009 |
KOT
4 - 0
SVH
76%
15%
9%
|
27 | 15 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2009 |
ARD
1 - 3
KOT
36%
25%
39%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2009 |
BAD
1 - 0
KOT
28%
24%
49%
|
27 | 19 | 8 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2009 |
KOT
0 - 1
SCR
69%
18%
13%
|
28 | 19 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2009 |
KOT
2 - 1
SOL
46%
23%
31%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | +1 |