ASV Dronten vs VV Heerenveen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.8%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.6%
1-0
4%
2-1
4.9%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.3%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
62.6%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
4%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.7%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.7%
0-3
6.6%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
3.6%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.8%
0-5
1.6%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+51%
-21%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
48
2º
6º
3º
20
11º
14º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
13º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
54 | 54 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
53 | 53 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
48 | 48 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
47 | 47 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
43 | 43 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
43 | 43 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
39 | 39 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
37 | 37 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
35 | 35 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
32 | 32 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
11º
|
30 | 30 |
11º
|
100% | |
|
12º
|
23 | 23 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
13º
|
20 | 20 |
13º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
8 | 8 |
14º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
100% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASV Dronten
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 May. 2019 |
ASV
2 - 1
DOS
23%
21%
56%
|
17 | 23 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2019 |
HIE
1 - 2
ASV
79%
13%
9%
|
16 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 2
NUN
36%
23%
41%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2019 |
DEM
2 - 2
ASV
70%
17%
13%
|
16 | 21 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
ASV
2 - 2
SDV
12%
18%
70%
|
14 | 30 | 16 | +2 |
Matches
VV Heerenveen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FVC
1 - 2
VVH
21%
20%
59%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
VVH
2 - 2
SCS
85%
10%
5%
|
27 | 16 | 11 | 0 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
GOM
4 - 3
VVH
41%
22%
36%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
VVH
6 - 1
VVN
91%
7%
3%
|
28 | 11 | 17 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2022 |
VVR
1 - 1
VVH
32%
22%
46%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | 0 |