Astur vs Unión Comercial analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.3%
Win probability
1.93
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.3%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.6%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
7.7%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.2%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.1%
25.5%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3.3%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.1%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
UNI
0 - 0
AST
30%
26%
44%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
AST
4 - 0
AND
62%
21%
17%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | +1 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
FRE
0 - 0
AST
29%
26%
46%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
MUR
2 - 1
AST
38%
25%
37%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
AST
2 - 1
ROC
49%
25%
26%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Unión Comercial
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
COM
3 - 2
ROC
40%
24%
37%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
ESM
2 - 2
COM
63%
20%
17%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2024 |
COM
0 - 0
SIE
35%
23%
43%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2024 |
BER
1 - 1
COM
34%
23%
43%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2024 |
COM
1 - 0
LLA
39%
23%
38%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +1 |