Astur vs Navarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
35.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.3%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.9%
26.1%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26%
38.3%
Win probability
1.36
Expected goals
0-1
9.5%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.2%
0-3
2.9%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.5%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
LEA
1 - 0
AST
62%
22%
17%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
AST
1 - 0
CON
59%
22%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
TUR
0 - 2
AST
28%
28%
44%
|
26 | 18 | 8 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
AST
2 - 0
PCF
46%
26%
28%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
COV
3 - 1
AST
22%
25%
53%
|
27 | 13 | 14 | -2 |
Matches
Navarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Sep. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
HIS
73%
17%
9%
|
30 | 20 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2002 |
ROB
2 - 2
NAV
64%
21%
15%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | +1 |
| 15 Sep. 2002 |
NAV
1 - 1
SPB
18%
25%
57%
|
28 | 48 | 20 | +1 |
| 08 Sep. 2002 |
NAV
3 - 1
COL
55%
24%
21%
|
26 | 25 | 1 | +2 |
| 01 Sep. 2002 |
LEA
5 - 0
NAV
51%
24%
25%
|
28 | 28 | 0 | -2 |