Astur vs Atlético de Lugones analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
4.7%
3-1
3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.7%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.4%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
44.6%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
9.8%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.2%
0-2
7.5%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.4%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.1%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astur
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Dec. 2010 |
LEN
2 - 0
AST
58%
21%
21%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2010 |
AST
1 - 1
COM
55%
21%
24%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
CAM
1 - 0
AST
39%
24%
37%
|
17 | 16 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
AST
1 - 2
MOS
47%
23%
30%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2010 |
COL
1 - 1
AST
73%
17%
11%
|
17 | 24 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Atlético de Lugones
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 0
COV
42%
25%
33%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
VAL
3 - 2
ATL
41%
25%
34%
|
25 | 20 | 5 | -1 |
| 05 Dec. 2010 |
ATL
1 - 1
TIN
73%
17%
10%
|
25 | 16 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2010 |
ATL
0 - 2
PIL
72%
18%
11%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Nov. 2010 |
LEN
0 - 2
ATL
30%
26%
44%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | 0 |