Astrea vs Rieti analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
29.3%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.3%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
45.8%
Win probability
1.57
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
4.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
13.8%
0-3
4%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.3%
0-4
1.6%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.3%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
ARZ
4 - 4
AST
61%
21%
18%
|
25 | 32 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
AST
1 - 1
ASC
30%
24%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
BUD
1 - 2
AST
52%
23%
25%
|
24 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
AST
0 - 2
FON
30%
25%
45%
|
25 | 34 | 9 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
CYN
3 - 2
AST
52%
24%
24%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Rieti
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 1
SEL
64%
21%
16%
|
34 | 24 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
RIE
4 - 3
FON
42%
25%
33%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
ASC
2 - 1
RIE
44%
24%
32%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
RIE
1 - 3
FLA
56%
23%
21%
|
35 | 28 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2009 |
LAT
3 - 2
RIE
52%
24%
24%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |