Astrea vs Ostia Mare analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.5%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
5%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
18.9%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
39.9%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
4.6%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astrea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
ANZ
1 - 3
AST
27%
26%
48%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
AST
0 - 1
CYN
61%
21%
19%
|
33 | 29 | 4 | -2 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
AST
1 - 2
BUD
54%
23%
23%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
TCA
1 - 2
AST
56%
22%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
AST
5 - 1
SEL
57%
21%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
Ostia Mare
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
OST
0 - 0
CYN
71%
17%
12%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
TCA
1 - 1
OST
35%
24%
42%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
OST
0 - 1
SOR
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 34 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
BUD
0 - 0
OST
31%
23%
45%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
OST
1 - 2
VIT
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |