Aston Villa vs Southampton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
45.1%
Win probability
1.58
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.9%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.2%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.6%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
30.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.5%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+5%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
CRY
1 - 0
ASV
27%
27%
46%
|
82 | 75 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 2
FUL
54%
24%
22%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
MUD
4 - 1
ASV
76%
15%
8%
|
83 | 92 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 4
STO
51%
26%
24%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
ASV
1 - 0
CHL
14%
21%
65%
|
83 | 93 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Southampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
SOU
0 - 1
CAR
67%
19%
13%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
MAC
4 - 1
SOU
84%
11%
5%
|
84 | 94 | 10 | -1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 0
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2014 |
TOT
3 - 2
SOU
66%
20%
14%
|
83 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2014 |
SOU
4 - 2
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
83 | 80 | 3 | 0 |