Aston Villa vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.8%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.9%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.9%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
20.9%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.8%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.2%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
BRA
0 - 3
ASV
35%
28%
37%
|
84 | 72 | 12 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 2
LEI
54%
26%
21%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 2
LEE
42%
27%
31%
|
84 | 86 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
MUD
2 - 0
ASV
79%
14%
7%
|
85 | 92 | 7 | -1 |
| 17 Jan. 2001 |
ASV
1 - 0
NEW
47%
27%
26%
|
84 | 84 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2001 |
MID
0 - 0
WIM
67%
19%
15%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2001 |
MID
1 - 1
MAC
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 76 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Jan. 2001 |
EVE
2 - 2
MID
47%
26%
27%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2001 |
LIV
0 - 0
MID
68%
19%
13%
|
80 | 88 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2001 |
MID
4 - 0
DER
54%
24%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |