Aston Villa vs Everton analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.2%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.3%
56.8%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
0-1
11.7%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
24.6%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.5%
0-3
6.1%
1-4
2.6%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.1%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
ASV
1 - 2
BOU
29%
24%
47%
|
73 | 81 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
TOT
3 - 1
ASV
78%
15%
7%
|
73 | 88 | 15 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
RBL
1 - 3
ASV
74%
17%
9%
|
73 | 87 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
CHA
1 - 4
ASV
34%
26%
40%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
WAL
1 - 5
ASV
14%
20%
66%
|
73 | 49 | 24 | 0 |
Matches
Everton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Aug. 2019 |
EVE
1 - 0
WAT
68%
19%
13%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2019 |
CRY
0 - 0
EVE
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
BRE
0 - 0
EVE
36%
26%
38%
|
87 | 84 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2019 |
M05
3 - 1
EVE
28%
26%
46%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2019 |
WIG
0 - 0
EVE
13%
22%
65%
|
87 | 65 | 22 | 0 |