Aston Villa vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.2%
2-0
4.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
7.2%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.1%
26.6%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.6%
46.2%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
23.7%
0-2
8.7%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.9%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+11%
+10%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
WHU
2 - 2
ASV
47%
26%
27%
|
84 | 82 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
ASV
1 - 1
ARS
17%
24%
59%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
SOU
2 - 2
ASV
53%
25%
22%
|
84 | 85 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2003 |
ASV
0 - 1
MUD
17%
22%
61%
|
84 | 93 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Mar. 2003 |
ASV
0 - 2
BIR
64%
22%
15%
|
84 | 76 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 0
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2003 |
SUN
1 - 2
CHL
17%
25%
57%
|
90 | 78 | 12 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2003 |
CHL
1 - 3
ARS
42%
25%
34%
|
91 | 93 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2003 |
CHL
5 - 0
MAC
71%
18%
12%
|
90 | 84 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Mar. 2003 |
WBA
0 - 2
CHL
18%
25%
58%
|
90 | 74 | 16 | 0 |