Aston Villa vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.6%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.5%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
47.8%
Win probability
1.61
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
14.5%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
6.8%
0-4
1.8%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.5%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aston Villa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
3 - 2
BHA
81%
14%
5%
|
88 | 57 | 31 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
6 - 4
BBU
54%
25%
22%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
0 - 0
WHU
62%
23%
16%
|
88 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 14 Jan. 2010 |
BBU
0 - 1
ASV
38%
26%
36%
|
88 | 84 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 2010 |
ASV
3 - 1
BBU
52%
25%
23%
|
88 | 85 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2010 |
STO
3 - 1
ARS
15%
22%
62%
|
93 | 79 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
4 - 2
BOL
77%
15%
8%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2010 |
BOL
0 - 2
ARS
18%
22%
60%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2010 |
ARS
2 - 2
EVE
71%
18%
11%
|
93 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 03 Jan. 2010 |
WHU
1 - 2
ARS
22%
24%
55%
|
93 | 83 | 10 | 0 |