Astana vs Zhetysu Taldykorgan analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.6%
Win probability
2.1
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.8%
2-0
12.2%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.6%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.4%
13%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
9.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+3%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
2º
28
8º
12º
11º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 81.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 18.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Oct. 2023 |
AST
1 - 2
VKP
32%
24%
44%
|
75 | 82 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2023 |
FCA
2 - 0
AST
47%
25%
28%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2023 |
AST
5 - 2
OKZ
64%
20%
15%
|
74 | 66 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
ORD
1 - 2
AST
47%
26%
27%
|
74 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2023 |
DZG
5 - 1
AST
69%
18%
13%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Zhetysu Taldykorgan
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Oct. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 2
ORD
24%
26%
50%
|
66 | 77 | 11 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2023 |
TOB
1 - 2
ZHE
58%
24%
18%
|
65 | 73 | 8 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2023 |
ZHE
1 - 2
KAI
22%
25%
53%
|
65 | 76 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Aug. 2023 |
KAI
1 - 1
ZHE
44%
28%
28%
|
65 | 66 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2023 |
ZHE
0 - 1
MAQ
43%
27%
30%
|
66 | 65 | 1 | -1 |