Astana vs Shakhter Karagandy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.2%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
10.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
25.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
-18%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
52
2º
7º
2º
28
9º
13º
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
10º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
58 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
52 | 53 |
2º
|
73.5% | |
|
3º
|
49 | 52 |
3º
|
73.5% | |
|
4º
|
44 | 44 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
39 | 39 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
36 | 36 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
34 | 34 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
0% | |
|
9º
|
28 | 29 |
9º
|
20.5% | |
|
|
10º
|
28 | 29 |
10º
|
19.5% | |
|
11º
|
28 | 28 |
11º
|
50% | |
|
12º
|
26 | 27 |
12º
|
52.5% | |
|
13º
|
18 | 18 |
13º
|
59.5% | |
|
14º
|
17 | 17 |
14º
|
59.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 50.5% |
|
Europa League qualifying phase
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 49.5% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2023 |
AST
2 - 1
ORD
55%
21%
24%
|
76 | 75 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Feb. 2023 |
KHI
0 - 3
AST
23%
23%
54%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
0 - 0
AST
48%
24%
28%
|
76 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2022 |
SHA
2 - 3
AST
42%
26%
33%
|
76 | 76 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2022 |
KYZ
0 - 2
AST
27%
26%
47%
|
76 | 68 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhter Karagandy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 2023 |
YEN
2 - 4
SHA
28%
24%
48%
|
75 | 64 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 2023 |
VAL
1 - 1
SHA
51%
23%
26%
|
75 | 77 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Feb. 2023 |
VOL
3 - 1
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
75 | 56 | 19 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2023 |
KED
0 - 2
SHA
15%
21%
64%
|
75 | 54 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2023 |
CSK
3 - 3
SHA
50%
25%
25%
|
75 | 78 | 3 | 0 |