Astana vs FC Irtysh Pavlodar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.4%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.7%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
24.8%
Win probability
1.13
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
ZHE
1 - 3
AST
21%
28%
52%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
AST
4 - 0
TOB
63%
22%
16%
|
76 | 69 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
EKI
2 - 3
AST
15%
22%
63%
|
75 | 52 | 23 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
KAI
2 - 1
AST
26%
29%
45%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | -1 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
AST
4 - 3
KAI
49%
25%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
FC Irtysh Pavlodar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2015 |
FCI
0 - 1
TAR
59%
24%
17%
|
74 | 68 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
FCA
2 - 1
FCI
42%
27%
32%
|
75 | 75 | 0 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2015 |
KAI
0 - 0
FCI
50%
24%
26%
|
75 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
FCI
1 - 2
ATY
67%
21%
12%
|
76 | 63 | 13 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2015 |
SHA
2 - 2
FCI
29%
27%
44%
|
76 | 65 | 11 | 0 |