Q. Europa League Playoffs Final
Global 3-2
Astana vs BATE Borisov analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.2%
Win probability
1.77
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.8%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.3%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
23.3%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.3%
26.4%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Astana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
VAL
0 - 4
AST
30%
27%
44%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
FCA
2 - 3
AST
18%
24%
59%
|
82 | 63 | 19 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
AST
5 - 1
VAL
59%
22%
19%
|
82 | 76 | 6 | 0 |
| 04 Aug. 2019 |
SHA
1 - 0
AST
16%
24%
60%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2019 |
AST
4 - 1
SCO
63%
21%
16%
|
82 | 74 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
BATE Borisov
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Aug. 2019 |
BAT
0 - 0
SAR
50%
25%
26%
|
82 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Aug. 2019 |
BAT
4 - 1
ZOR
70%
19%
12%
|
82 | 66 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 Aug. 2019 |
SAR
1 - 2
BAT
43%
25%
33%
|
83 | 81 | 2 | -1 |
| 03 Aug. 2019 |
BAT
8 - 1
TAR
81%
15%
5%
|
83 | 57 | 26 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2019 |
RBK
2 - 0
BAT
50%
24%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |