ASSU vs SD Sparta analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.7%
Win probability
2.29
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.9%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.6%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.1%
19.3%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.3%
19%
Win probability
1.21
Expected goals
0-1
3.6%
1-2
5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
11.6%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
ALT
1 - 0
ASS
71%
18%
11%
|
36 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 1
MOT
29%
26%
46%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | -2 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
0 - 3
ABC
15%
21%
65%
|
40 | 58 | 18 | -2 |
| 18 Mar. 2018 |
ASS
4 - 1
BAR
52%
25%
24%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
ARN
4 - 1
ASS
70%
19%
11%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
SD Sparta
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2018 |
MOT
1 - 0
SDS
76%
16%
8%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 2
INT
38%
23%
39%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
1 - 1
ALT
20%
24%
56%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2018 |
ARA
1 - 1
SDS
29%
22%
49%
|
34 | 27 | 7 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2018 |
SDS
3 - 0
PAR
68%
18%
14%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | +1 |