Potiguar . Semi-finals
Global 1-9
ASSU vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
56.5%
Win probability
1.99
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
5.6%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.2%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.9%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
21.9%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
13.4%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.9%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
1 - 1
ABC
23%
23%
54%
|
49 | 62 | 13 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
2 - 2
ASS
73%
17%
10%
|
48 | 62 | 14 | +1 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
SGO
0 - 0
ASS
32%
24%
44%
|
49 | 41 | 8 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
2 - 2
COR
68%
18%
14%
|
49 | 37 | 12 | 0 |
| 05 Mar. 2006 |
ASS
0 - 0
ARN
45%
24%
31%
|
49 | 50 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Mar. 2006 |
POT
0 - 4
GUA
19%
22%
59%
|
45 | 64 | 19 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2006 |
POT
1 - 1
SAN
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2006 |
SAN
3 - 3
POT
48%
23%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2006 |
POT
4 - 0
ACD
77%
15%
8%
|
45 | 25 | 20 | 0 |
| 10 Mar. 2006 |
ABC
1 - 2
POT
79%
14%
7%
|
44 | 64 | 20 | +1 |