ASSU vs Potiguar Mossoró analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
64.8%
Win probability
2.27
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.7%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
12.4%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
18.9%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
18.9%
16.3%
Win probability
1.05
Expected goals
0-1
3.8%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
10.5%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.1%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.2%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
ASS
5 - 0
SEP
79%
14%
8%
|
46 | 13 | 33 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
COR
1 - 3
ASS
40%
23%
37%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | +1 |
| 26 Mar. 2005 |
ASS
1 - 0
SAN
45%
23%
32%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | +1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
BAR
1 - 3
ASS
52%
22%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | +2 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
POT
1 - 2
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Potiguar Mossoró
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2005 |
POT
1 - 3
BAR
45%
23%
32%
|
39 | 42 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2005 |
SEP
2 - 6
POT
33%
24%
44%
|
39 | 14 | 25 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2005 |
POT
1 - 2
COR
55%
21%
24%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 2005 |
SAN
1 - 0
POT
62%
20%
19%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | -1 |
| 13 Mar. 2005 |
POT
1 - 2
ASS
51%
22%
27%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | -1 |