ASSU vs Força e Luz analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
44.7%
Win probability
1.79
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.5%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.7%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
32.4%
Win probability
1.5
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
GLO
3 - 3
ASS
70%
20%
10%
|
32 | 48 | 16 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 3
SAN
37%
25%
38%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
7 - 0
ASS
76%
16%
8%
|
34 | 47 | 13 | -1 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ASS
0 - 0
POT
34%
25%
42%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
PAL
1 - 1
ASS
33%
24%
44%
|
34 | 26 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Força e Luz
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POT
0 - 2
FEL
62%
19%
18%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2020 |
FEL
0 - 0
PAL
50%
22%
29%
|
30 | 26 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2020 |
SAN
1 - 1
FEL
51%
23%
26%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Jan. 2020 |
ABC
4 - 2
FEL
75%
16%
9%
|
30 | 56 | 26 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARN
4 - 1
FEL
74%
16%
11%
|
31 | 46 | 15 | -1 |