ASSU vs Baraunas analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.7%
Win probability
1.75
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.4%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.4%
2-0
9.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.5%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.5%
22.8%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
5.9%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
14.4%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASSU
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
3 - 2
ASS
38%
25%
37%
|
50 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 2
ABC
36%
25%
39%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 3
ASS
35%
26%
39%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Mar. 2009 |
ASS
2 - 2
SAN
58%
22%
20%
|
51 | 44 | 7 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
SAN
0 - 1
ASS
37%
26%
38%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Baraunas
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
ARN
27%
24%
49%
|
46 | 59 | 13 | 0 |
| 12 Mar. 2009 |
BAR
2 - 2
SAN
53%
23%
24%
|
46 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2009 |
ACD
1 - 1
BAR
42%
25%
33%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | -1 |
| 27 Feb. 2009 |
COR
1 - 2
BAR
30%
26%
45%
|
46 | 32 | 14 | +1 |
| 21 Feb. 2009 |
ASS
1 - 1
BAR
56%
23%
21%
|
46 | 50 | 4 | 0 |