ACO Liguria vs Napoli analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
57.1%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.3%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.7%
2-0
9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.4%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
21.1%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.2%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ACO Liguria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 1
ACL
65%
17%
18%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
JUV
4 - 0
ACL
72%
16%
12%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
ACL
1 - 1
BOL
40%
25%
35%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
NOV
1 - 0
ACL
49%
23%
28%
|
74 | 72 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
ACL
0 - 0
LAZ
42%
23%
35%
|
74 | 79 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Napoli
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
1 - 1
BAR
51%
23%
26%
|
73 | 71 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 1940 |
VNZ
2 - 0
NAP
67%
17%
16%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | -1 |
| 07 Jan. 1940 |
NAP
0 - 0
JUV
41%
26%
33%
|
74 | 83 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Dec. 1939 |
BOL
1 - 1
NAP
74%
16%
10%
|
74 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 1939 |
NAP
2 - 1
NOV
53%
23%
24%
|
73 | 72 | 1 | +1 |