AE Real vs Baré EC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33.2%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
2%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
4.4%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
4%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
16.8%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.6%
2-2
7.1%
3-3
2.6%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.5%
45.3%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
4.7%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
19.9%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
13.6%
0-3
3.3%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
7.2%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.1%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+43%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
AE Real
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 0
REA
39%
21%
40%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2017 |
SAO
8 - 1
REA
72%
16%
12%
|
19 | 35 | 16 | -1 |
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 2
ARO
57%
19%
24%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Apr. 2017 |
REA
2 - 1
GAS
78%
13%
9%
|
19 | 8 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2017 |
REA
1 - 9
SAO
23%
21%
57%
|
20 | 32 | 12 | -1 |
Matches
Baré EC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Mar. 2018 |
BAR
2 - 2
GAS
76%
14%
9%
|
21 | 8 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Jun. 2017 |
FAS
1 - 1
BAR
84%
11%
6%
|
21 | 37 | 16 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 2
GUR
25%
23%
53%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 Jun. 2017 |
REC
4 - 0
BAR
84%
10%
6%
|
22 | 38 | 16 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
REC
17%
20%
63%
|
23 | 38 | 15 | -1 |