AEA vs Tanabi analysis


14	ELO	17
-2%	Tilt	-0.9%
12920º	General ELO ranking	11147º
422º	Country ELO ranking	398º
ELO win probability

33.1%

AEA

23.5%

Draw

43.4%

Tanabi

Possible results

Probability of each exact result

Probability of each margin of victory

33.1%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.45
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.9%
2-0
4.6%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.6%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17.8%

23.5%

Draw

0-0

4.3%

1-1

10.6%

2-2

6.5%

3-3

1.8%

4-4

0.3%

5-5

<0%

0

23.5%

43.4%
Win probability

                        
                    
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
7.3%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.2%
1-3
5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
2.1%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.2%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.4%
0-5
0.5%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.7%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%