ASS Nevogilde vs Paços de Gaiolo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
85.3%
Win probability
3.03
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.2%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.2%
8-0
0.5%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.6%
7-0
1.2%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.5%
6-0
2.9%
7-1
0.7%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3.7%
5-0
5.7%
6-1
1.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
7.6%
4-0
9.4%
5-1
3.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
13.3%
3-0
12.4%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
19%
2-0
12.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
10.1%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
4.8%
2-2
2.2%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
10.1%
4.5%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.6%
1-2
1.4%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
3.5%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.8%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+23%
+186%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASS Nevogilde
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 7
NEV
11%
17%
72%
|
23 | 8 | 15 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
NEV
3 - 1
LOU
28%
22%
50%
|
21 | 30 | 9 | +2 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
FRE
1 - 1
NEV
42%
23%
35%
|
21 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
NEV
5 - 2
ANC
78%
14%
8%
|
21 | 12 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2014 |
SVP
1 - 2
NEV
21%
21%
58%
|
21 | 13 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
Paços de Gaiolo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Dec. 2014 |
PGA
2 - 3
COD
48%
22%
30%
|
9 | 9 | 0 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
LAM
2 - 3
PGA
43%
23%
35%
|
8 | 7 | 1 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
CAR
2 - 3
PGA
68%
18%
15%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
PGA
0 - 4
LOU
9%
16%
75%
|
7 | 30 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
FRE
2 - 2
PGA
84%
11%
5%
|
7 | 21 | 14 | 0 |