Aspe UD vs Villena analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.3%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
5.2%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.4%
61.4%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.9%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
24.3%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
6.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
18.8%
0-3
7%
1-4
3.2%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0.1%
-3
10.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.9%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.8%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
CTS
6 - 2
ASP
53%
22%
25%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2012 |
ASP
0 - 2
VIJ
43%
24%
33%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | -1 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
ALM
3 - 2
ASP
41%
24%
36%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2012 |
ASP
1 - 1
HER
35%
24%
41%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2012 |
ALT
1 - 3
ASP
59%
21%
20%
|
17 | 20 | 3 | +2 |
Matches
Villena
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
CAL
77%
15%
9%
|
30 | 18 | 12 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
THD
0 - 1
VIL
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 1
ALB
84%
11%
5%
|
30 | 12 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
ALI
0 - 3
VIL
15%
21%
64%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
CTS
2 - 1
VIL
15%
20%
65%
|
30 | 16 | 14 | 0 |