Aspe UD vs S. Fulgencio analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76%
Win probability
2.66
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.3%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.7%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
10.7%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.2%
1-0
8%
2-1
9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.6%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.6%
9.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.6%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe UD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
COC
1 - 2
ASP
42%
23%
35%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ASP
2 - 3
JOV
38%
23%
38%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
ALG
2 - 2
ASP
25%
22%
53%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
ASP
1 - 1
TOR
62%
19%
19%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
HON
2 - 3
ASP
39%
23%
38%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
S. Fulgencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
SPO
0 - 2
RAF
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2015 |
ATL
3 - 1
SPO
73%
16%
11%
|
13 | 20 | 7 | -1 |
| 22 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
ALB
16%
20%
64%
|
12 | 21 | 9 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2015 |
3 - 0
SPO
68%
18%
15%
|
12 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 Feb. 2015 |
SPO
1 - 0
UNI
16%
20%
64%
|
11 | 21 | 10 | +1 |