Aspe B vs Novelda UCF B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.5%
Win probability
2.71
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
10-1
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
2.7%
6-2
0.9%
7-3
0.2%
8-4
<0%
+4
7.2%
3-0
5%
4-1
5%
5-2
2%
6-3
0.4%
7-4
0.1%
+3
12.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
3.7%
5-3
1%
6-4
0.2%
7-5
<0%
+2
17.9%
1-0
4.1%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
5.5%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
1.5%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
17.2%
19.3%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
3%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
11%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-40%
+51%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aspe B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2025 |
CCT
3 - 3
ASP
42%
21%
36%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 1
PEA
59%
19%
22%
|
11 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2025 |
BNY
3 - 3
ASP
81%
12%
8%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2025 |
ASP
1 - 6
ELC
21%
19%
60%
|
11 | 19 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
ONI
3 - 0
ASP
84%
10%
5%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | -1 |
Matches
Novelda UCF B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Apr. 2025 |
NUC
6 - 4
PEA
36%
21%
43%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2025 |
ELC
3 - 0
NUC
86%
9%
4%
|
7 | 20 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Mar. 2025 |
NUC
2 - 6
ATL
20%
20%
61%
|
7 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2025 |
MON
3 - 0
NUC
58%
19%
23%
|
7 | 10 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
NUC
1 - 5
RAY
11%
14%
75%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |