ASPDIF vs Aigle Noir analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.6%
Win probability
1.44
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
4%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
8.4%
3-1
4.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.7%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
26.4%
Draw
0-0
8.2%
1-1
12.5%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.4%
28%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
6.7%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.3%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
7.5%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
ASPDIF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 May. 2009 |
ASP
1 - 3
RAC
39%
29%
32%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
VIO
1 - 1
ASP
51%
26%
23%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2009 |
DAC
1 - 1
ASP
56%
24%
20%
|
54 | 58 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ASP
0 - 1
CAP
43%
29%
27%
|
54 | 60 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 May. 2009 |
CAV
0 - 1
ASP
46%
27%
27%
|
53 | 56 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Aigle Noir
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2009 |
AIG
0 - 1
CAV
50%
28%
22%
|
57 | 56 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 May. 2009 |
AIG
0 - 2
ASC
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2009 |
BAL
1 - 0
AIG
46%
28%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2009 |
AIG
3 - 0
JSC
49%
27%
24%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 21 May. 2009 |
ASM
1 - 0
AIG
45%
29%
26%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |