St. Valentin vs Union Perg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.9%
Win probability
2.04
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.3%
1-0
6.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
21.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
9%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.4%
27.7%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-77%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
St. Valentin
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2018 |
UNI
3 - 1
ASV
50%
21%
29%
|
19 | 18 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2017 |
DON
2 - 3
ASV
64%
18%
18%
|
18 | 22 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
ASV
2 - 1
NEU
76%
14%
10%
|
18 | 13 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2017 |
SVW
3 - 0
ASV
80%
13%
8%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
ASV
3 - 0
HER
18%
19%
64%
|
17 | 26 | 9 | +2 |
Matches
Union Perg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Mar. 2018 |
UNP
1 - 0
GRI
18%
19%
62%
|
17 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2017 |
UNP
1 - 1
OED
7%
13%
80%
|
16 | 38 | 22 | +1 |
| 04 Nov. 2017 |
GRU
1 - 5
UNP
65%
18%
17%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Oct. 2017 |
UNP
2 - 2
UNI
22%
21%
57%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2017 |
FCA
0 - 1
UNP
34%
23%
44%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |