Dragão vs Petro de Luanda analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
31%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
8.5%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
7.1%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.9%
27.4%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
13%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.4%
41.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
11.9%
1-2
8.5%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.6%
0-2
7.8%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
12.2%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
+25%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
16º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
10
12º
16º
16º
69
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
69 | 72 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
61 | 64 |
2º
|
93.5% | |
|
4º
|
55 | 59 |
3º
|
39% | |
|
3º
|
55 | 58 |
4º
|
42% | |
|
5º
|
53 | 56 |
5º
|
80% | |
|
6º
|
39 | 43 |
6º
|
81.5% | |
|
8º
|
36 | 40 |
7º
|
53.5% | |
|
7º
|
36 | 39 |
8º
|
31.5% | |
|
9º
|
36 | 39 |
9º
|
16% | |
|
10º
|
35 | 36 |
10º
|
53% | |
|
11º
|
32 | 33 |
11º
|
67.5% | |
|
15º
|
15 | 31 |
12º
|
26% | |
|
12º
|
24 | 29 |
13º
|
40.5% | |
|
13º
|
23 | 26 |
14º
|
61.5% | |
|
14º
|
20 | 21 |
15º
|
80.5% | |
|
|
16º
|
10 | 13 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
CAF Champions League
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Dragão
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 0
SCB
68%
19%
13%
|
57 | 42 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
PDC
0 - 0
ASK
32%
28%
40%
|
57 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
ASK
0 - 1
REC
52%
27%
22%
|
58 | 55 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Petro de Luanda
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2022 |
SRI
0 - 3
PET
16%
24%
60%
|
66 | 52 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
PET
2 - 0
ONZ
55%
25%
20%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2022 |
PET
0 - 0
CDH
56%
23%
21%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2022 |
INT
1 - 1
PET
35%
28%
37%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2022 |
REC
0 - 2
PET
21%
26%
54%
|
66 | 55 | 11 | 0 |