FA Cup . 1/512

Ashton United vs Spennymoor Town analysis

Ashton United Spennymoor Town
33 ELO 46
8.9% Tilt 8.6%
4839º General ELO ranking 4783º
207º Country ELO ranking 202º
ELO win probability
22.7%
Ashton United
21.8%
Draw
55.4%
Spennymoor Town

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
22.7%
Win probability
Ashton United
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.2%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.2%
1-0
5.1%
2-1
5.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
0.1%
+1
13.8%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
55.4%
Win probability
Spennymoor Town
1.96
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.8%
0-2
8.3%
1-3
6.4%
2-4
1.9%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
16.9%
0-3
5.4%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
9.4%
0-4
2.7%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
4.2%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.5%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%

ELO progression

Ashton United
Spennymoor Town
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Ashton United
Ashton United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
01 Oct. 2019
GRA
Grantham Town
0 - 4
Ashton United
ASH
43%
23%
35%
33 33 0 0
28 Sep. 2019
HYD
Hyde
3 - 3
Ashton United
ASH
59%
20%
21%
33 37 4 0
24 Sep. 2019
ASH
Ashton United
0 - 1
Whitby Town
WHI
40%
24%
36%
34 39 5 -1
21 Sep. 2019
ASH
Ashton United
1 - 0
Pontefract Collieries
PON
30%
20%
50%
33 39 6 +1
14 Sep. 2019
MIC
Mickleover Sports FC
0 - 1
Ashton United
ASH
40%
23%
37%
32 31 1 +1

Matches

Spennymoor Town
Spennymoor Town
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
28 Sep. 2019
SPE
Spennymoor Town
2 - 1
Kidderminster Harriers
KID
66%
19%
15%
45 38 7 0
21 Sep. 2019
LAN
Lancaster City
0 - 5
Spennymoor Town
SPE
28%
24%
48%
43 38 5 +2
14 Sep. 2019
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
1 - 1
Spennymoor Town
SPE
15%
20%
65%
43 30 13 0
10 Sep. 2019
SPE
Spennymoor Town
5 - 0
Blyth Spartans
BLY
61%
20%
18%
43 37 6 0
07 Sep. 2019
SPE
Spennymoor Town
2 - 2
Kings Lynn Town
KIN
30%
24%
46%
42 48 6 +1
X